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Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation

107K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

53.4%

45%60%
Floor53.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.7%.

Measured over 107K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 5.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 107K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
107K
Best context
58.9% at 2500+ Blitz
Worst context
50.8% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
94.9%
Draws
5.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 46.8% at 0-999, 53.2% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (75 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (262 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (89 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (255 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (577 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (201 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (430 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (1,408 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (479 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (968 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (2,772 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (938 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (2,035 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (5,598 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (1,679 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (124 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (3,765 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (12,260 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (2,214 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (167 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (6,252 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (21,813 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (2,935 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (181 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (10,004 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (21,856 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (1,467 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (3,359 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (2,403 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Trompowsky Attack
49.3%
Variations (5)
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense
49.2%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation
49.5%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation
50.9%
Trompowsky Attack: Borg Variation
55.7%
Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation
52.2%
Continuations (1)
Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation, Hergert Gambit
52.7%
Analyze Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation scores 53.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.2% and 53.7% — from 107K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
107K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate?

Playing the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation, White wins 50.9%, draws 5.1% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 107K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation perform best?

The Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 55.9% (5.8K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 53.6% in Blitz (69K games) against 52.3% in Rapid (10K games).

How sharp is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation?

The Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 50.8%, draws 4.8% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 427 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 54.3%, draws 2.3% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 51.0%, draws 4.2% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 2.3K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 51.7%, draws 3.2% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 4.8K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 50.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 9.4K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 49.5%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 50.6%, draws 5.0% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 31K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.5%, draws 6.2% and loses 42.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 52.3%, draws 7.1% and loses 40.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.9%. It rests on 5.8K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 27K Lichess games.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.8%, draws 5.5% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 69K Lichess games.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 49.5%, draws 5.6% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 10K Lichess games.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 49.6%, draws 7.2% and loses 43.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 586 Lichess games.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation a good opening?

The Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 50.9% of its games and loses 44.1%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.