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Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation

32K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.5%Range (90% confident): 46.0% – 47.0%Based on 32K games
0%46.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.0% – 47.0%
Outcome Distribution
43.2%6.5%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nf6
Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation
Analyzen=32K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 46.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.0% and 47.0%), based on 32K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 42% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.7% win rate (62 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (257 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.0% win rate (707 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (1,620 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.2% win rate (3,330 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.5% win rate (6,413 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.6% win rate (9,454 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.3% win rate (8,457 games)
  • 2500+: 39.7% win rate (1,617 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (78%), worst in Rapid (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 45.8% win rate (11,245 games)
  • Blitz: 42.2% win rate (17,196 games)
  • Rapid: 39.5% win rate (3,264 games)
  • Classical: 41.1% win rate (209 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 29.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (106 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (254 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (347 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (547 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (829 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (226 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (1,043 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,791 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (449 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (45 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,951 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (3,585 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (803 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (2,646 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (5,723 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (1,036 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (3,508 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (4,340 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (591 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (1,159 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (424 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Symmetrical Variation
48.5%
Tarrasch Defense: Two Knights Variation
49.7%
Tarrasch Defense: Schara Gambit
45.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Dubov Tarrasch
44.6%
Continuations (1)
Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation, Main Line
48.4%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 32K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (3.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.7%) outperforms Classical (50.6%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation?

The Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 257 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 707 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.4%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.1%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.2%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 44.9%-56.2%) win rate for white (209 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.3%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Prague Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.