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Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit

3.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score52.5%Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 53.8%Based on 3.7K games
0%52.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 53.8%
Outcome Distribution
49.9%5.2%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...d4
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit
Analyzen=3.7K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 52.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 53.8%), based on 3.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +13.8% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.6% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 52%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (28 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.7% win rate (82 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (377 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (901 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.7% win rate (1,763 games)
  • 2500+: 52.3% win rate (514 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Classical (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.8% win rate (14 games)
  • Bullet: 54.1% win rate (1,518 games)
  • Blitz: 47.0% win rate (2,019 games)
  • Rapid: 45.9% win rate (113 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (9 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 30.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (113 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (243 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (264 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (589 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 37.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (688 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,028 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (405 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.8% expected score (105 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Symmetrical Variation
48.5%
Tarrasch Defense: Two Knights Variation
49.7%
Tarrasch Defense: Schara Gambit
45.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Dubov Tarrasch
44.6%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 59.3% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.0%) outperforms Bullet (41.6%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 377 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 42.7%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 901 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.1%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 38.4%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 514 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 41.6% (90% CI: 39.6%-43.7%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.8%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 42.6%-57.9%) win rate for white (113 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit is slightly favors black with a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.