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Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation

2.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.0%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.0%Based on 2.3M games
0%50.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%4.4%47.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.c4
Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation
Analyzen=2.3M
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 50.0%), based on 2.3M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.8% · Bullet best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.6% win rate (104,606 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.4% win rate (183,547 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.0% win rate (283,590 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.0% win rate (387,088 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (471,760 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (478,332 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.1% win rate (280,035 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.7% win rate (100,066 games)
  • 2500+: 51.0% win rate (14,784 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.5% win rate (696 games)
  • Bullet: 49.3% win rate (541,746 games)
  • Blitz: 47.9% win rate (1,259,674 games)
  • Rapid: 45.9% win rate (477,759 games)
  • Classical: 42.6% win rate (23,933 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 29.2% expected score (73 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (20,538 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (59,159 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (24,570 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.3% expected score (266 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (93 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (34,499 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (102,594 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (45,125 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (1,236 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (148 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (53,221 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (152,742 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (74,083 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (3,396 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.1% expected score (152 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (74,846 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (207,219 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (98,053 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (6,818 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (112 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (90,329 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (267,026 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (106,542 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (7,751 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (112,768 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (277,232 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (85,013 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (3,246 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (88,367 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (151,196 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (39,282 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (1,156 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (53,951 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (41,044 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (5,002 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (13,227 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (89 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (40.5%) by 8.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 105K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 184K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 284K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 387K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 472K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 478K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 280K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 100K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 40.5% (90% CI: 37.5%-43.6%) win rate for white (696 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.4%) win rate for white (542K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.0%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.1%) win rate for white (478K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation has a 42.6% (90% CI: 42.0%-43.1%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Staunton-Cochrane Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.