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Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit

41K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score61.4%Range (90% confident): 61.0% – 61.8%Based on 41K games
0%61.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 61.0% – 61.8%
Outcome Distribution
59.9%3.0%37.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...b5
Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit
Analyzen=41K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 61.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 61.0% and 61.8%), based on 41K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 14.3% · Classical best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 63% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 62.7% win rate (6,536 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.7% win rate (7,135 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.2% win rate (8,172 games)
  • 1400-1599: 59.5% win rate (8,163 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.4% win rate (6,241 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.5% win rate (3,106 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.3% win rate (1,004 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.0% win rate (301 games)
  • 2500+: 50.6% win rate (39 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (73%), worst in Bullet (59%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 64.7% win rate (245 games)
  • Bullet: 58.7% win rate (13,695 games)
  • Blitz: 58.9% win rate (19,382 games)
  • Rapid: 64.1% win rate (7,065 games)
  • Classical: 73.0% win rate (310 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 66.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 64.5% expected score (2,101 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (2,943 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.8% expected score (1,418 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (56 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (2,338 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.8% expected score (3,426 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 65.2% expected score (1,253 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 66.6% expected score (62 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 69.1% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.8% expected score (2,761 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (3,846 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 66.5% expected score (1,435 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 63.7% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (2,620 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (3,935 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (1,443 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 80.6% expected score (108 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (1,940 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (3,242 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 65.9% expected score (1,001 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 84.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (1,137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (1,531 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (431 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 85.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (534 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (393 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.4% expected score (75 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (226 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (65 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 59.9% (90% CI: 59.5%-60.3%) win rate for white, based on 41K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 62.7% win rate for white (6.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (73.0%) outperforms Bullet (58.7%) by 14.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit?

The Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 62.7% (90% CI: 61.7%-63.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 60.7% (90% CI: 59.8%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 60.2% (90% CI: 59.3%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 59.5% (90% CI: 58.6%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 58.4% (90% CI: 57.3%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 56.5% (90% CI: 55.1%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 57.3% (90% CI: 54.8%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 52.3%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 301 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 64.7% (90% CI: 59.6%-69.6%) win rate for white (245 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 58.7% (90% CI: 58.0%-59.4%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 58.9% (90% CI: 58.3%-59.5%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 64.1% (90% CI: 63.2%-65.1%) win rate for white (7.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit has a 73.0% (90% CI: 68.8%-77.1%) win rate for white (310 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Polish Gambit is statistically favors white with a 59.9% (90% CI: 59.5%-60.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.