Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit

377K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

View As

Playable

White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.0%Based on 377K games

0%50.8%100%

Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.0%

Outcome Distribution

49.1%3.3%47.6%

Win

Draw

Loss

3.Nf3

Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit

Analyzen=377K

Avg Length32 moves

Sharpness97%

Draw Rate3.3%

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 51.0%), based on 377K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.9% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 53%

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+	—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 84.8% expected score (10 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (1,435 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,685 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (560 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (4,337 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (5,054 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (1,779 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (30 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (72 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (8,957 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (12,392 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (4,130 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (104 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (313 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (15,510 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (24,398 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (7,717 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.3% expected score (312 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.6% expected score (243 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (21,905 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (36,809 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (9,040 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (427 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.4% expected score (184 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (31,308 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (43,322 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (8,066 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (372 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (89 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (37,379 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (34,018 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (4,268 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (84 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (35 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (38,628 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (11,186 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (1,145 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (8,763 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.7% expected score (388 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 66.3% expected score (17 games)
2500+ rating, Classical: 83.3% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent

Sicilian Defense

48.5%

Variations (5)

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon

45.7%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation

45.8%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind

48.8%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation

43.7%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation

44.6%

Continuations (1)

Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit, Andreaschek Gambit

53.0%

Analyze Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 377K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (9.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (51.9%) outperforms Classical (41.0%) by 10.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit?

The Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 76K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-54.5%) win rate for white (976 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.7%) win rate for white (168K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.4%) win rate for white (169K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 38.9%-43.3%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Morphy Gambit expected score for White?