TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation

397K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.0%Based on 397K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.0%
Outcome Distribution
46.7%4.1%49.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nf3
Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation
Analyzen=397K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 48.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 49.0%), based on 397K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.0% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.6% win rate (7,438 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (23,292 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.3% win rate (46,607 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (77,081 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (97,578 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.4% win rate (84,101 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.1% win rate (42,919 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.2% win rate (15,920 games)
  • 2500+: 46.7% win rate (2,275 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.3% win rate (319 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (125,740 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (195,902 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (71,968 games)
  • Classical: 40.4% win rate (3,282 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,572 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (3,800 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (1,058 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (7,031 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (11,612 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (4,598 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 25.4% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (13,485 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (23,072 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (9,800 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (239 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 37.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (20,909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (40,031 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15,275 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (831 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (25,713 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (52,347 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (18,300 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (1,162 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (24,642 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (42,709 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (15,902 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (779 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (18,367 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (18,506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (5,754 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (10,970 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (3,670 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (1,219 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (2,051 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (155 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.1% expected score (62 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 397K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 47.3% win rate for white (47K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.4%) outperforms Classical (40.4%) by 8.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 98K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 84K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 41.8%-50.9%) win rate for white (319 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.6%) win rate for white (126K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.6%) win rate for white (196K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.4%) win rate for white (72K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation has a 40.4% (90% CI: 39.0%-41.8%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Retreat Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-46.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.