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Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation

32K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.3%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.7%Based on 32K games
0%46.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.7%
Outcome Distribution
43.9%4.8%51.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Na3
Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation
Analyzen=32K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 46.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 46.7%), based on 32K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 16.4% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 40% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.9% win rate (4,750 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.6% win rate (2,410 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.1% win rate (1,737 games)
  • 1400-1599: 30.1% win rate (2,518 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.2% win rate (3,363 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.0% win rate (4,464 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.7% win rate (6,972 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.1% win rate (4,298 games)
  • 2500+: 51.8% win rate (1,257 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (31%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 32.2% win rate (28 games)
  • Bullet: 47.2% win rate (6,291 games)
  • Blitz: 44.6% win rate (18,582 games)
  • Rapid: 39.4% win rate (6,381 games)
  • Classical: 30.8% win rate (487 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.9% expected score (538 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (2,175 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (2,004 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (242 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.0% expected score (851 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (1,230 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (85 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.8% expected score (248 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (732 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.2% expected score (629 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.0% expected score (117 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 24.4% expected score (410 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.1% expected score (1,164 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 27.1% expected score (777 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.2% expected score (160 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (522 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (2,427 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (350 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,007 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (2,781 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (659 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 20.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,168 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (5,201 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (586 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (1,307 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (2,862 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (127 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (849 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (389 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 76.8% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (4.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.2%) outperforms Classical (30.8%) by 16.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 39.9% (90% CI: 38.7%-41.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 38.6% (90% CI: 37.0%-40.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 37.1% (90% CI: 35.2%-39.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 30.1% (90% CI: 28.6%-31.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.8%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.7%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 11.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.2%) win rate for white (6.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.2%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 39.4% (90% CI: 38.4%-40.4%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation has a 30.8% (90% CI: 27.4%-34.3%) win rate for white (487 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kronberger Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.