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Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening

21K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score39.8%Range (90% confident): 39.2% – 40.3%Based on 21K games
0%39.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 39.2% – 40.3%
Outcome Distribution
38.0%3.6%58.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Ke2
Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening
Analyzen=21K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 39.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 39.2% and 40.3%), based on 21K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.7% · Bullet best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 31% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 31.0% win rate (991 games)
  • 1000-1199: 31.6% win rate (1,271 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.4% win rate (2,165 games)
  • 1400-1599: 35.7% win rate (3,222 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.1% win rate (4,085 games)
  • 1800-1999: 37.3% win rate (3,854 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.0% win rate (2,831 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.6% win rate (2,322 games)
  • 2500+: 38.3% win rate (679 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (40%), worst in Classical (24%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 30.5% win rate (154 games)
  • Bullet: 40.2% win rate (10,865 games)
  • Blitz: 36.8% win rate (8,136 games)
  • Rapid: 32.0% win rate (2,182 games)
  • Classical: 24.3% win rate (83 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 17.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 33.1% expected score (424 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.6% expected score (376 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 29.1% expected score (173 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 24.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.2% expected score (583 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 31.7% expected score (448 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 24.4% expected score (207 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 26.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.2% expected score (1,040 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 39.1% expected score (807 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.1% expected score (270 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 39.2% expected score (1,466 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (1,295 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 31.5% expected score (382 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 22.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (1,897 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 38.8% expected score (1,762 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (389 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 22.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 39.4% expected score (1,774 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 39.0% expected score (1,634 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.7% expected score (432 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (1,495 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (1,123 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 38.1% expected score (208 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (1,678 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (568 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (508 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.8% expected score (123 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 33.9% expected score (48 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 38.0% (90% CI: 37.4%-38.5%) win rate for white, based on 21K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 41.6% win rate for white (2.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (40.2%) outperforms Classical (24.3%) by 15.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening?

The Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 31.0% (90% CI: 28.6%-33.4%) win rate for white, based on 991 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 31.6% (90% CI: 29.5%-33.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 37.4% (90% CI: 35.7%-39.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 35.7% (90% CI: 34.3%-37.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 40.1% (90% CI: 38.8%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 37.3% (90% CI: 36.0%-38.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 41.0% (90% CI: 39.5%-42.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 41.6% (90% CI: 39.9%-43.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 38.3% (90% CI: 35.2%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 679 Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 11.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 30.5% (90% CI: 24.6%-36.7%) win rate for white (154 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 40.2% (90% CI: 39.5%-41.0%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 36.8% (90% CI: 35.9%-37.6%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening has a 32.0% (90% CI: 30.4%-33.6%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: King David's Opening is slightly favors black with a 38.0% (90% CI: 37.4%-38.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.