What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.2%), based on 589K Lichess games.
589K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.2%), based on 589K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 46% → 49%
Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 589K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (42K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (54.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (42.3%) by 12.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 90K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 136K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 149K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 109K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 39.4%-45.3%) win rate for white (749 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.4%) win rate for white (250K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white (265K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.2%) win rate for white (70K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.
In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.6%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.
The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.