1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 54.0%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 20% → 54%
Similar across time controls (~52%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (468 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (49.6%) outperforms Rapid (49.5%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 198 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 347 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 468 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 38.7%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 498 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-53.3%) win rate for white (472 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-52.2%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 42.9%-56.1%) win rate for white (153 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.