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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation

1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.1%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 50.1%Based on 1.6K games
0%48.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
45.7%4.7%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...a5
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation
Analyzen=1.6K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 48.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 50.1%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.9% win rate (13 games)
  • 1400-1599: 36.2% win rate (69 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.4% win rate (198 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.0% win rate (347 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.6% win rate (468 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.8% win rate (498 games)
  • 2500+: 41.0% win rate (51 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (472 games)
  • Blitz: 45.9% win rate (1,008 games)
  • Rapid: 41.7% win rate (153 games)
  • Classical: 39.4% win rate (15 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (57 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (117 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (247 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (127 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (278 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (156 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (315 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (468 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.6%) outperforms Rapid (49.5%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 198 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 347 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 468 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 38.7%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 498 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-53.3%) win rate for white (472 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-52.2%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 42.9%-56.1%) win rate for white (153 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.