Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation

90K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.5%Range (90% confident): 55.2% – 55.8%Based on 90K games
0%55.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.2% – 55.8%
Outcome Distribution
53.4%4.1%42.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.f4
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation
Analyzen=90K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 55.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.2% and 55.8%), based on 90K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.0% win rate (266 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.2% win rate (856 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.3% win rate (2,177 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.2% win rate (4,679 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.1% win rate (9,712 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.5% win rate (17,595 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.7% win rate (25,335 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.8% win rate (25,415 games)
  • 2500+: 58.3% win rate (4,012 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (54%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 52.8% win rate (30,692 games)
  • Blitz: 53.9% win rate (50,354 games)
  • Rapid: 53.4% win rate (8,520 games)
  • Classical: 52.4% win rate (473 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (109 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (367 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (361 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (127 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (787 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,020 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (359 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (1,452 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,443 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (729 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,789 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (5,380 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,458 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (84 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (4,296 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (11,009 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (2,114 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (6,839 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (15,931 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (2,450 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.6% expected score (115 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (10,917 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (13,258 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (1,202 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (3,136 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.2% expected score (832 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (44 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 90K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 58.3% win rate for white (4.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (53.9%) outperforms Classical (52.4%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.1%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 266 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 42.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 856 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.2%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 58.3% (90% CI: 57.0%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.3%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.2%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.3%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-56.1%) win rate for white (473 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.