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Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score44.6%Range (90% confident): 44.0% – 45.2%Based on 19K games
0%44.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.0% – 45.2%
Outcome Distribution
43.0%3.1%53.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Nh3
Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation
Analyzen=19K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 44.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.0% and 45.2%), based on 19K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 16.4% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.7% win rate (4,681 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.6% win rate (3,598 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.3% win rate (3,007 games)
  • 1400-1599: 38.4% win rate (3,770 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.3% win rate (1,773 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.3% win rate (1,237 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.1% win rate (639 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.2% win rate (360 games)
  • 2500+: 55.1% win rate (52 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (48%), worst in Classical (32%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.3% win rate (132 games)
  • Bullet: 44.8% win rate (5,467 games)
  • Blitz: 43.8% win rate (8,694 games)
  • Rapid: 39.8% win rate (4,514 games)
  • Classical: 31.9% win rate (310 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (1,160 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (2,330 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (1,154 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,037 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (1,468 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (1,012 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (694 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (1,401 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (813 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 33.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (1,251 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (1,485 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.1% expected score (871 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.1% expected score (128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (580 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (767 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (375 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 17.8% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (289 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (780 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (159 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (243 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (289 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 43.0% (90% CI: 42.4%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (360 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.8%) outperforms Classical (31.9%) by 12.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 42.5%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.3%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 40.8%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 38.4% (90% CI: 37.1%-39.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 42.4%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 42.0%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 43.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 639 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 45.9%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 360 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 41.2%-55.4%) win rate for white (132 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.7%-45.9%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.6%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 39.8% (90% CI: 38.6%-41.0%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation has a 31.9% (90% CI: 27.7%-36.3%) win rate for white (310 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Brick Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.0% (90% CI: 42.4%-43.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.