Scotch Game: Mieses Variation

399K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

View As

Playable

White Expected Score51.2%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.3%Based on 399K games

0%51.2%100%

Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.3%

Outcome Distribution

48.7%5.0%46.4%

Win

Draw

Loss

6.e5

Scotch Game: Mieses Variation

Analyzen=399K

Avg Length33 moves

Sharpness95%

Draw Rate5.0%

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 51.3%), based on 399K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.7% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 45%

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (4,470 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (7,119 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (2,018 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (8,682 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (18,646 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (7,755 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.8% expected score (58 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (10,770 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (25,768 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (14,275 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (289 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (35 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (12,879 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (29,503 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (15,262 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (759 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (13,347 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (32,665 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13,044 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (797 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (13,267 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (30,652 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (9,379 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (757 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.6% expected score (20 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (13,637 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (36,507 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (7,650 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (353 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (16,609 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (34,043 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (5,759 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (140 games)
2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (6,638 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (4,860 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (468 games)
2500+ rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (48 games)

Related Openings

Parent

Scotch Game

52.9%

Variations (5)

Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit

43.5%

Scotch Game: Benima Defense

52.7%

Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack

64.2%

Scotch Game: Braune Variation

49.0%

Scotch Game: Classical Variation

50.6%

Analyze Scotch Game: Mieses Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 399K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Mieses Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (51K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.6%) outperforms Classical (42.5%) by 7.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation?

The Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.2%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 15.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-61.1%) win rate for white (136 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.8%) win rate for white (100K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.9%) win rate for white (220K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.7%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-44.0%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.

Is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Mieses Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.

What is the Scotch Game: Mieses Variation expected score for White?