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Analyzer

Scotch Game: Meitner Variation

9.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.8%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 53.6%Based on 9.1K games
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%4.8%44.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Nc2
Scotch Game: Meitner Variation
Analyzen=9.1K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 53.6%), based on 9.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.7% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.5% win rate (29 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (141 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.8% win rate (842 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (1,162 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (2,391 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (2,556 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.6% win rate (1,707 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (286 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 55.2% win rate (2,806 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (5,080 games)
  • Rapid: 46.5% win rate (1,142 games)
  • Classical: 41.4% win rate (94 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (70 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (169 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (573 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (96 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (227 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (611 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (285 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (838 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,290 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (234 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (637 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (1,523 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (384 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (652 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (947 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (97 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (226 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit
43.5%
Scotch Game: Benima Defense
52.7%
Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack
64.2%
Scotch Game: Braune Variation
49.0%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Analyze Scotch Game: Meitner Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Meitner Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.2%) outperforms Classical (41.4%) by 13.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation?

The Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 39.8%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 141 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 41.9%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 842 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 47.8%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 286 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.7%-56.8%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.8%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 44.1%-48.9%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Scotch Game: Meitner Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Meitner Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.