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Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack

71K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score66.0%Range (90% confident): 65.7% – 66.3%Based on 71K games
0%66.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 65.7% – 66.3%
Outcome Distribution
64.2%3.5%32.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nb5
Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack
Analyzen=71K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 66.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 65.7% and 66.3%), based on 71K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.3 · Trap factor: +18.2 · n=71K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.2% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 54% → 66%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.7% win rate (616 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.2% win rate (1,737 games)
  • 1200-1399: 58.9% win rate (3,736 games)
  • 1400-1599: 63.1% win rate (7,161 games)
  • 1600-1799: 63.9% win rate (14,034 games)
  • 1800-1999: 65.2% win rate (19,774 games)
  • 2000-2199: 65.6% win rate (14,882 games)
  • 2200-2499: 65.2% win rate (7,806 games)
  • 2500+: 66.0% win rate (1,430 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (68%), worst in Classical (56%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 68.2% win rate (21,674 games)
  • Blitz: 63.2% win rate (37,517 games)
  • Rapid: 60.2% win rate (11,487 games)
  • Classical: 56.0% win rate (498 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (372 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (143 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 64.2% expected score (430 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (841 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (458 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 66.1% expected score (957 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (1,873 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (887 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 68.4% expected score (2,154 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (3,326 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (1,630 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 70.2% expected score (3,936 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (7,352 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (2,624 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 71.4% expected score (4,642 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (11,377 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (3,525 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (4,466 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 66.6% expected score (8,487 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 67.8% expected score (1,871 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.8% expected score (3,794 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (3,660 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.5% expected score (343 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 69.7% expected score (1,195 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (229 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit
43.5%
Scotch Game: Benima Defense
52.7%
Scotch Game: Braune Variation
49.0%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Blackburne Attack
51.2%
Analyze Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate?

The Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 64.2% (90% CI: 63.9%-64.5%) win rate for white, based on 71K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack perform best?

The Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 65.6% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (68.2%) outperforms Classical (56.0%) by 12.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack?

The Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 50.4%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 616 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 56.2% (90% CI: 54.3%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 58.9% (90% CI: 57.6%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 63.1% (90% CI: 62.2%-64.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 63.9% (90% CI: 63.3%-64.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 65.2% (90% CI: 64.6%-65.7%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 65.6% (90% CI: 65.0%-66.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 65.2% (90% CI: 64.3%-66.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 66.0% (90% CI: 64.0%-68.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 68.2% (90% CI: 67.7%-68.7%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 63.2% (90% CI: 62.8%-63.6%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 60.2% (90% CI: 59.4%-60.9%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a 56.0% (90% CI: 52.3%-59.6%) win rate for white (498 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack is statistically favors white with a 64.2% (90% CI: 63.9%-64.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.