Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense

127K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.4%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.6%Based on 127K games
0%49.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.6%
Outcome Distribution
46.8%5.1%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...g6
Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense
Analyzen=127K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 49.6%), based on 127K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.1% win rate (5,505 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.8% win rate (11,180 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.8% win rate (13,702 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.6% win rate (13,710 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (14,829 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (18,761 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.7% win rate (22,279 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.6% win rate (20,682 games)
  • 2500+: 38.8% win rate (5,936 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.1% win rate (29 games)
  • Bullet: 48.5% win rate (36,856 games)
  • Blitz: 46.6% win rate (70,396 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (18,201 games)
  • Classical: 41.6% win rate (1,102 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,151 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (3,154 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (1,183 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,279 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (6,362 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (2,493 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (3,018 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (7,142 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (3,435 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (106 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (3,449 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (7,001 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (3,037 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (216 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,172 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (9,042 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (2,247 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (365 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (4,694 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (11,329 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (2,540 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (193 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (6,527 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (13,190 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (2,416 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (142 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (9,206 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (10,670 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (786 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (3,360 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (2,506 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (64 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 127K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.3%) outperforms Blitz (47.6%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 17.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.0%) win rate for white (70K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.4%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.