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Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation

405K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.0%Range (90% confident): 54.9% – 55.2%Based on 405K games
0%55.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.9% – 55.2%
Outcome Distribution
53.0%4.1%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.e3
Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation
Analyzen=405K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 55.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.9% and 55.2%), based on 405K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +13.0% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.8% win rate (4,462 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.4% win rate (14,523 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.8% win rate (32,107 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.0% win rate (55,875 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.1% win rate (84,295 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.6% win rate (91,788 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (68,730 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.1% win rate (43,737 games)
  • 2500+: 49.2% win rate (9,609 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.8% win rate (3,601 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (258,853 games)
  • Blitz: 52.2% win rate (121,803 games)
  • Rapid: 54.4% win rate (20,019 games)
  • Classical: 53.5% win rate (850 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (1,698 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (2,164 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (552 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (76 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (6,495 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (6,283 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (1,655 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (284 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (17,090 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (11,921 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (2,735 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (916 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (31,016 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (19,830 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (3,923 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (190 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (1,371 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (52,747 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (25,681 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (4,222 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (274 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (637 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (61,735 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (25,450 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (3,807 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (218 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (50,352 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (16,125 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,948 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (87 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (30,627 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (11,968 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (7,093 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (2,381 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (114 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 405K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (32K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.4%) outperforms Classical (53.5%) by 0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.5%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.7%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 84K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-55.1%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (259K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.4%) win rate for white (122K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.0%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-56.3%) win rate for white (850 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Vienna Variation, Quiet Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.