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Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation

945K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.5%Range (90% confident): 55.4% – 55.6%Based on 945K games
0%55.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.4% – 55.6%
Outcome Distribution
53.6%3.8%42.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...dxc4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation
Analyzen=945K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 55.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.4% and 55.6%), based on 945K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.4% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.7% win rate (9,480 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.2% win rate (32,481 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.3% win rate (71,258 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.4% win rate (129,905 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.1% win rate (204,323 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.0% win rate (227,853 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.3% win rate (153,123 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.0% win rate (93,901 games)
  • 2500+: 50.8% win rate (23,025 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Blitz (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.0% win rate (3,858 games)
  • Bullet: 53.8% win rate (587,471 games)
  • Blitz: 53.1% win rate (303,214 games)
  • Rapid: 53.6% win rate (48,813 games)
  • Classical: 54.0% win rate (1,993 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (3,777 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (4,483 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (1,206 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.4% expected score (80 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (15,747 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (12,866 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (3,758 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (294 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (37,692 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (26,376 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (6,707 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (189 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (1,041 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (69,711 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (48,660 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (10,050 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (443 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.1% expected score (1,362 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (119,683 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (71,584 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (11,092 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (732 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (144,054 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (73,014 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (9,702 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.1% expected score (292 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (108,006 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (40,326 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (4,396 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 66.5% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (70,393 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (21,846 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (1,545 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.7% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (18,408 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (4,059 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (357 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 69.0% expected score (201 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 945K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (71K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (57.0%) outperforms Classical (54.0%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 130K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 204K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 228K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 153K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.7%-58.3%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-53.9%) win rate for white (587K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.2%) win rate for white (303K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.0%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.2%-55.9%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Three Knights, Vienna Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.