TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation

18K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.8%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 53.4%Based on 18K games
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 53.4%
Outcome Distribution
49.7%6.2%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...exd5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation
Analyzen=18K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 53.4%), based on 18K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +4.5% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (98 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.0% win rate (365 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (1,009 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.6% win rate (2,584 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (5,019 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (5,316 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (3,038 games)
  • 2500+: 49.6% win rate (526 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (51%), worst in Classical (45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (4,999 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (10,606 games)
  • Rapid: 50.9% win rate (2,216 games)
  • Classical: 44.6% win rate (143 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (129 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (190 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (324 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (538 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (144 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (767 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (1,449 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (1,142 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (3,175 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (648 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,112 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (3,451 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (715 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (1,092 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (1,642 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (296 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (384 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (125 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 18K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.6%) outperforms Classical (44.6%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 41.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 365 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 526 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.7%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.4%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.6%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 37.9%-51.5%) win rate for white (143 Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.5%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tartakower Defense, Exchange Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.