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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation

1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.4%Range (90% confident): 43.5% – 47.3%Based on 1.9K games
0%45.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.5% – 47.3%
Outcome Distribution
42.8%5.2%52.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation
Analyzen=1.9K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 45.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.5% and 47.3%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (51 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.4% win rate (101 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.9% win rate (211 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.3% win rate (352 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.6% win rate (502 games)
  • 2000-2199: 39.3% win rate (371 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.8% win rate (238 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (39 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (48%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 42.6% win rate (669 games)
  • Blitz: 44.1% win rate (1,005 games)
  • Rapid: 36.7% win rate (196 games)
  • Classical: 47.8% win rate (10 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 80.5% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 67.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 40.8% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (220 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (164 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (283 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (153 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (185 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (126 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 39.2% expected score (100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 55.7% win rate for white (371 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.4%) outperforms Blitz (50.1%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 44.1%-60.3%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 45.0%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 211 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 352 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 502 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 371 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 238 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-57.5%) win rate for white (669 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-52.7%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 47.6%-59.2%) win rate for white (196 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Spielmann Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.