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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation

300 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score51.5%Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 56.2%Based on 300 games
0%51.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 56.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.3%8.5%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...c5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation
Analyzen=300
Avg Length41 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.5%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation has a 51.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.8% and 56.2%), based on 300 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~41%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1000-1199: 36.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.8% win rate (17 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.4% win rate (22 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.2% win rate (32 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (25 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (35 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.5% win rate (85 games)
  • 2500+: 40.7% win rate (66 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (53%), worst in Rapid (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 40.4% win rate (79 games)
  • Blitz: 52.6% win rate (165 games)
  • Rapid: 38.9% win rate (46 games)
  • Classical: 47.8% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 300 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 44.5% win rate for white (85 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.6%) outperforms Bullet (40.4%) by 12.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation has a sharpness score of 91.5 (decisive), meaning 91.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 41 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-58.9%) win rate for white (165 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semmering Variation is slightly favors black with a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.6%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.