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Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 46.0% – 47.5%Based on 12K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.0% – 47.5%
Outcome Distribution
43.5%6.4%50.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...a5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation
Analyzen=12K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 46.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.0% and 47.5%), based on 12K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +2.1% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 47%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.9% win rate (23 games)
  • 1400-1599: 35.7% win rate (56 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.2% win rate (218 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.3% win rate (828 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.0% win rate (3,072 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.6% win rate (5,635 games)
  • 2500+: 47.3% win rate (1,664 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in Rapid (41%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.8% win rate (2,623 games)
  • Blitz: 43.2% win rate (8,122 games)
  • Rapid: 41.0% win rate (705 games)
  • Classical: 55.1% win rate (52 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (103 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (190 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (549 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (428 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (2,388 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (1,075 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (4,258 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (298 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (824 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (785 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.7%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 47.3% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (55.1%) outperforms Rapid (41.0%) by 14.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 41.2% (90% CI: 35.8%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 218 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 41.3% (90% CI: 38.5%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 828 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 42.0% (90% CI: 40.5%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.6%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 11.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-46.4%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.1%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation has a 41.0% (90% CI: 37.9%-44.0%) win rate for white (705 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Slav, Abrahams Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.7%-44.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.