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Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation

161 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score61.1%Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 67.3%Based on 161 games
0%61.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 67.3%
Outcome Distribution
58.2%5.8%36.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Bd2
Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation
Analyzen=161
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation has a 61.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.7% and 67.3%), based on 161 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 71% → 79%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1600-1799: 31.0% win rate (13 games)
  • 1800-1999: 58.9% win rate (52 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.2% win rate (37 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.8% win rate (47 games)
  • 2500+: 78.9% win rate (8 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (63%), worst in Rapid (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 63.2% win rate (42 games)
  • Blitz: 59.6% win rate (100 games)
  • Rapid: 33.3% win rate (18 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399———
1400-1599———
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 66.9% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 66.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation has a 58.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-64.4%) win rate for white, based on 161 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 58.9% win rate for white (52 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation has a 59.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-67.5%) win rate for white (100 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Rochlin Variation is statistically favors white with a 58.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-64.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.