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Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score48.3%Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.7%Based on 39K games
0%48.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.7%
Outcome Distribution
45.8%5.0%49.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Qxd4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 48.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 48.7%), based on 39K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -4.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.2% win rate (113 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.0% win rate (669 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (2,027 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.2% win rate (4,826 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (8,666 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.2% win rate (11,030 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.1% win rate (7,520 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.9% win rate (3,681 games)
  • 2500+: 45.7% win rate (492 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.9% win rate (33 games)
  • Bullet: 46.5% win rate (21,650 games)
  • Blitz: 45.3% win rate (14,302 games)
  • Rapid: 43.5% win rate (2,932 games)
  • Classical: 39.2% win rate (107 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (363 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (266 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 34.3% expected score (40 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (972 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (910 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (143 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (2,131 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (2,229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (438 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (3,866 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (3,943 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (812 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (5,688 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (4,344 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (945 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.3% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (5,063 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (1,981 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (466 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,065 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (539 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (75 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (441 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (669 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.5%) outperforms Classical (39.2%) by 7.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 42.6%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 669 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.5%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 44.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 42.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 492 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.1%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.0%-45.0%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation has a 39.2% (90% CI: 31.6%-47.0%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Primitive Pillsbury Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.