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Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation

549 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score38.9%Range (90% confident): 35.6% – 42.4%Based on 549 games
0%38.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 35.6% – 42.4%
Outcome Distribution
36.6%4.6%58.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qb6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation
Analyzen=549
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation has a 38.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 35.6% and 42.4%), based on 549 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -36.0% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 95.9 · Trap factor: -16.2 · n=549

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 30.4% win rate (10 games)
  • 1200-1399: 33.3% win rate (15 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (29 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.6% win rate (45 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.4% win rate (69 games)
  • 2000-2199: 36.9% win rate (119 games)
  • 2200-2499: 32.4% win rate (241 games)
  • 2500+: 53.5% win rate (20 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (43%), worst in Blitz (36%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 36.8% win rate (103 games)
  • Blitz: 36.4% win rate (407 games)
  • Rapid: 37.7% win rate (37 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 35.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (88 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 34.9% expected score (204 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation has a 36.6% (90% CI: 33.3%-40.0%) win rate for white, based on 549 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 40.4% win rate for white (69 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (36.4%) outperforms Bullet (36.8%) by -0.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation has a 36.9% (90% CI: 29.8%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 119 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation has a 32.4% (90% CI: 27.5%-37.4%) win rate for white, based on 241 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation has a 36.8% (90% CI: 29.3%-44.7%) win rate for white (103 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation has a 36.4% (90% CI: 32.5%-40.3%) win rate for white (407 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pseudo-Tarrasch Variation, Canal Variation is slightly favors black with a 36.6% (90% CI: 33.3%-40.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.