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Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack

2.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 53.6%Based on 2.6K games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.0%5.9%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Ne5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack
Analyzen=2.6K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 53.6%), based on 2.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -0.1% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.8% win rate (14 games)
  • 1200-1399: 59.3% win rate (28 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (89 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (276 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (644 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.1% win rate (861 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.5% win rate (595 games)
  • 2500+: 52.5% win rate (68 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~50%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (818 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (1,481 games)
  • Rapid: 49.0% win rate (267 games)
  • Classical: 47.8% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (91 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (148 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (166 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (409 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (66 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (203 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (558 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (99 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (247 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (298 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.1% win rate for white (861 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.9%) outperforms Rapid (49.0%) by 0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 48.8% (90% CI: 43.9%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 276 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 644 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.3%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 861 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 595 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.4%-50.2%) win rate for white (818 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 44.0%-54.0%) win rate for white (267 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Pillsbury Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.