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Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit

874 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.7%Range (90% confident): 41.9% – 47.4%Based on 874 games
0%44.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.9% – 47.4%
Outcome Distribution
42.1%5.1%52.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...dxc4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit
Analyzen=874
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 44.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.9% and 47.4%), based on 874 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -19.1% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.8% win rate (26 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.6% win rate (85 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.3% win rate (181 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.1% win rate (175 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.5% win rate (141 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (67 games)
  • 2200-2499: 38.4% win rate (138 games)
  • 2500+: 36.8% win rate (57 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (46%), worst in Classical (27%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 41.0% win rate (217 games)
  • Blitz: 41.7% win rate (518 games)
  • Rapid: 45.8% win rate (135 games)
  • Classical: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (57 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 31.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (117 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 32.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 39.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 39.6% expected score (90 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 874 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 58.4% win rate for white (85 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (53.4%) outperforms Rapid (50.9%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 181 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 175 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 45.4%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 141 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 138 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-58.4%) win rate for white (217 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-57.0%) win rate for white (518 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 43.9%-57.9%) win rate for white (135 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Knight Defense, Alekhine Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-55.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.