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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation

343K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 48.0%Based on 343K games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 48.0%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%5.1%49.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...a6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation
Analyzen=343K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 47.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.7% and 48.0%), based on 343K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.8% win rate (1,825 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.9% win rate (7,308 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.6% win rate (18,947 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (40,094 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.7% win rate (65,043 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.8% win rate (76,381 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.8% win rate (66,581 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.4% win rate (54,065 games)
  • 2500+: 40.7% win rate (12,879 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.3% win rate (170 games)
  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (87,351 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (205,320 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (48,173 games)
  • Classical: 42.4% win rate (2,109 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (769 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (812 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (201 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (76 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (3,048 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (3,381 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (792 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (6,149 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (10,192 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (2,512 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (71 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (11,068 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (22,913 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (5,854 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (244 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (14,671 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (39,067 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (10,700 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (597 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (14,508 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (46,509 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (14,602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (759 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (15,421 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (41,676 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (9,143 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (339 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (15,372 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (34,526 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (4,084 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (6,345 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (6,244 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (285 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 343K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.4%) by -0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 65K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 76K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 44.2%-56.7%) win rate for white (170 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white (87K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.6%) win rate for white (205K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.1%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.0%-50.6%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Janowski Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.