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Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation

2.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.0%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 55.5%Based on 2.7K games
0%54.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 55.5%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%15.1%38.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Qb3
Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation
Analyzen=2.7K
Avg Length50 moves
Sharpness85%
Draw Rate15.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 55.5%), based on 2.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +3.1% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (16 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.0% win rate (30 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.2% win rate (40 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.2% win rate (62 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.5% win rate (93 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.5% win rate (324 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (1,429 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (706 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (18%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (974 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (1,463 games)
  • Rapid: 40.4% win rate (235 games)
  • Classical: 17.5% win rate (30 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 32.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.1% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (493 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (870 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (369 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (241 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (85 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (93 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.2%) outperforms Rapid (40.4%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a sharpness score of 84.9 (moderately decisive), meaning 84.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 50 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 42.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 324 Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 15.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 11.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 38.9%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 706 Lichess games. Average game length is 54 moves with a 24.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-50.1%) win rate for white (974 Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.1%-49.4%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation has a 40.4% (90% CI: 35.2%-45.7%) win rate for white (235 Lichess games). Draw rate is 22.2%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Hastings Variation is statistically favors white with a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.