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Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense

95K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.0%Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 48.2%Based on 95K games
0%48.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
44.9%6.2%49.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...b6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense
Analyzen=95K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.7% and 48.2%), based on 95K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.0% win rate (84 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (502 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.3% win rate (1,619 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (4,659 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.8% win rate (12,074 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (21,555 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (25,423 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.3% win rate (22,873 games)
  • 2500+: 36.0% win rate (6,575 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (34,574 games)
  • Blitz: 44.3% win rate (52,709 games)
  • Rapid: 43.5% win rate (7,661 games)
  • Classical: 36.2% win rate (414 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (278 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (180 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (735 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (692 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (187 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (2,068 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,071 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (490 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4,806 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (6,168 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,040 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (7,024 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (12,566 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (1,828 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (137 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (7,788 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (15,294 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (2,235 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (105 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (7,864 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (13,318 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (1,657 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (3,968 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (2,389 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.6% expected score (171 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 32.5% expected score (47 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 95K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.4% win rate for white (23K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.2%) outperforms Classical (46.8%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 502 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 13.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.3%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.1%) win rate for white (7.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-50.8%) win rate for white (414 Lichess games). Draw rate is 17.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Harrwitz Attack, Fianchetto Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.