TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation

116K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score55.3%Range (90% confident): 55.1% – 55.6%Based on 116K games
0%55.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.1% – 55.6%
Outcome Distribution
52.5%5.7%41.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Qc2
Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation
Analyzen=116K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 55.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.1% and 55.6%), based on 116K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.5% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.5% win rate (19 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (104 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (409 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (1,264 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.6% win rate (5,295 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.1% win rate (17,953 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.5% win rate (39,844 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.7% win rate (41,684 games)
  • 2500+: 51.3% win rate (9,088 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (11%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 52.8% win rate (39,190 games)
  • Blitz: 52.4% win rate (67,875 games)
  • Rapid: 51.6% win rate (8,164 games)
  • Classical: 47.6% win rate (428 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (204 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (485 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (636 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (130 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,624 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (3,168 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (455 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (4,826 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (11,303 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (1,692 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (131 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (9,069 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (27,363 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (3,254 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (158 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (16,140 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (23,007 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (2,476 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (6,768 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (2,179 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (127 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 116K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.8%) outperforms Classical (47.6%) by 5.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 43.7%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 409 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.2%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.7%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.5%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 43.7%-51.6%) win rate for white (428 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Exchange Variation, Reshevsky Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.