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Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line

357K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.8%Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.0%Based on 357K games
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%4.3%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Bg4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line
Analyzen=357K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.7% and 53.0%), based on 357K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.1% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.5% win rate (3,614 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.2% win rate (12,642 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (30,979 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.4% win rate (53,578 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (67,745 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (68,475 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (55,451 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.0% win rate (51,617 games)
  • 2500+: 50.9% win rate (12,676 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Blitz (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.4% win rate (364 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (128,357 games)
  • Blitz: 50.1% win rate (189,528 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (37,080 games)
  • Classical: 51.5% win rate (1,448 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (1,559 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (1,635 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (416 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (4,988 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (6,282 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (1,326 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 69.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (11,166 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (16,076 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (3,631 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (75 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (17,072 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (28,787 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (7,429 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (215 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (73 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (19,287 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (37,648 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (10,262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (475 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.0% expected score (70 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (21,816 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (37,780 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (8,429 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (380 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (19,789 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (31,346 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (4,052 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (225 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (23,480 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (26,586 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (1,466 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (9,200 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (3,388 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (69 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Continuations (1)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation
53.8%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 357K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (54K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.9%) outperforms Classical (51.5%) by 0.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 55.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-59.7%) win rate for white (364 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white (128K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.3%) win rate for white (190K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.3%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.7%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.