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Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation

1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.2%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 58.5%Based on 1.2K games
0%56.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 58.5%
Outcome Distribution
53.8%4.6%41.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qa4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation
Analyzen=1.2K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 56.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 58.5%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.4% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 61% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 61.3% win rate (14 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.9% win rate (52 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.8% win rate (90 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.4% win rate (90 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.8% win rate (89 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.4% win rate (152 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (242 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.1% win rate (397 games)
  • 2500+: 44.1% win rate (70 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (59%), worst in Bullet (52%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (307 games)
  • Blitz: 53.7% win rate (703 games)
  • Rapid: 57.0% win rate (173 games)
  • Classical: 58.6% win rate (13 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.1% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (37 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (68 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (152 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (113 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (278 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 57.1% win rate for white (397 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.0%) outperforms Bullet (51.7%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 152 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 242 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 57.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 397 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-56.4%) win rate for white (307 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-56.8%) win rate for white (703 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-63.1%) win rate for white (173 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Main Line, Alekhine Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-56.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.