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Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit

96K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.2%Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 46.4%Based on 96K games
0%46.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 46.4%
Outcome Distribution
44.2%4.0%51.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit
Analyzen=96K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 46.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.9% and 46.4%), based on 96K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -4.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.5 · Trap factor: +0.3 · n=96K

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.3% win rate (5,502 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.0% win rate (7,468 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.1% win rate (10,829 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.7% win rate (14,725 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (15,901 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.5% win rate (15,199 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.5% win rate (13,728 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.6% win rate (10,592 games)
  • 2500+: 40.3% win rate (2,046 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.8% win rate (408 games)
  • Bullet: 45.0% win rate (42,055 games)
  • Blitz: 43.9% win rate (40,381 games)
  • Rapid: 42.4% win rate (12,600 games)
  • Classical: 35.0% win rate (546 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,247 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (2,752 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (1,492 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (2,245 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (3,364 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.8% expected score (1,785 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 25.8% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.9% expected score (55 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (3,843 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (4,738 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (2,091 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (102 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.8% expected score (91 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (5,760 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (6,347 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (2,398 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 33.2% expected score (129 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (86 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (6,555 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (6,916 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (2,235 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.1% expected score (109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (112 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (7,199 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (6,187 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,604 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (97 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (7,132 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (5,822 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (704 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.1% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (6,373 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (3,922 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (279 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (1,701 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (333 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 96K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (7.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (58.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.6%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-55.7%) win rate for white (408 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.3%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.8%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.9%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit has a 58.4% (90% CI: 54.9%-61.8%) win rate for white (546 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Lazard Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.