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Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.3%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 54.7%Based on 1.1K games
0%52.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 54.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%7.5%44.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation
n=1.1K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.5%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a 52.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 54.7%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.5% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 46%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1600-1799: 38.1% win rate (47 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.1% win rate (147 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.4% win rate (424 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (449 games)
  • 2500+: 45.7% win rate (74 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (68%), worst in Rapid (45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (238 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (821 games)
  • Rapid: 45.3% win rate (79 games)
  • Classical: 68.4% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399————
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (110 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.5% expected score (62 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (319 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (92 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (335 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.4% win rate for white (424 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms Rapid (45.3%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a sharpness score of 92.5 (decisive), meaning 92.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a 44.1% (90% CI: 37.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 424 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 45.7%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 449 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-56.0%) win rate for white (238 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.1%-50.8%) win rate for white (821 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Bogoljubov Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.