794 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation has a 57.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.1% and 59.9%), based on 794 Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 48% → 59%
Best in Rapid (59%), worst in Blitz (54%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 794 rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 58.7% win rate for white (352 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (54.3%) outperforms Rapid (58.9%) by -4.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation has a 58.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 352 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 47.2%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 314 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-62.5%) win rate for white (126 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-57.6%) win rate for white (616 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Cambridge Springs Defense, Argentine Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-57.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.