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Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred

53K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.1%Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 55.5%Based on 53K games
0%55.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 55.5%
Outcome Distribution
53.5%3.2%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qb3
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred
Analyzen=53K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 55.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.8% and 55.5%), based on 53K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +13.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~46%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (138 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.1% win rate (647 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.3% win rate (2,747 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.2% win rate (7,618 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.6% win rate (14,309 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.8% win rate (15,637 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (8,363 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.6% win rate (3,526 games)
  • 2500+: 44.8% win rate (281 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (55%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 52.7% win rate (16,335 games)
  • Blitz: 53.7% win rate (30,874 games)
  • Rapid: 54.9% win rate (5,917 games)
  • Classical: 53.7% win rate (139 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (84 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (335 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (258 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (1,157 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,401 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (183 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (2,407 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (4,390 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (797 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (3,714 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (8,732 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (1,801 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (62 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (3,907 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (9,671 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (2,026 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,923 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (4,582 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (845 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (1,581 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (1,744 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (201 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (227 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 53K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.2% win rate for white (7.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.9%) outperforms Classical (53.7%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 45.5% (90% CI: 38.6%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 138 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 53.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 647 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 54.3% (90% CI: 52.7%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.2%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.1%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 42.6% (90% CI: 41.2%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 44.8% (90% CI: 39.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 281 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.3%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.2%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.8%-56.0%) win rate for white (5.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred has a 53.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-60.6%) win rate for white (139 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack Deferred is statistically favors white with a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.