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Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin

122K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%Based on 122K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%3.3%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nc6
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin
Analyzen=122K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 51.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 52.0%), based on 122K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.9% win rate (1,731 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.0% win rate (5,450 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.9% win rate (12,727 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (22,332 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (27,063 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (23,974 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (16,313 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (10,279 games)
  • 2500+: 46.1% win rate (1,981 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (59%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 59.2% win rate (50 games)
  • Bullet: 51.1% win rate (49,029 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (60,529 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (11,857 games)
  • Classical: 47.0% win rate (385 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (686 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (769 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (273 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (2,443 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (2,440 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (554 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (5,354 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (5,956 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,367 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (8,280 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (11,188 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (2,747 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (9,635 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (14,221 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (3,071 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (126 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (8,674 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (12,732 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (2,477 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (6,360 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (8,880 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,052 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (5,953 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (4,023 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (299 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,644 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (320 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 122K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 47.2% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (47.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (39.8%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.6%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.9%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.0%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.7%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin has a 49.3% (90% CI: 45.1%-53.5%) win rate for white (385 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Pseudo-Chigorin is statistically balanced with a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.