2.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 53.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 55.4%), based on 2.8K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 43% → 39%
Best in Blitz (48%), worst in Classical (32%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (288 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (48.2%) outperforms Rapid (44.7%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a sharpness score of 86.1 (moderately decisive), meaning 86.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 44 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 288 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 517 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.1%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 674 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 44.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 702 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 13.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 39.0% (90% CI: 35.5%-42.6%) win rate for white, based on 505 Lichess games. Average game length is 53 moves with a 35.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-48.5%) win rate for white (742 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.0%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.2%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.6%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 40.0%-49.5%) win rate for white (295 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.7%.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Anti-Tartakower Variation, Petrosian Variation is statistically favors white with a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.