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Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation

30K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.4%Based on 30K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.4%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%4.8%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.e4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation
Analyzen=30K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 51.4%), based on 30K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.8% win rate (149 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.3% win rate (608 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.5% win rate (1,563 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.3% win rate (3,346 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (5,978 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.3% win rate (8,490 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.3% win rate (6,274 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.9% win rate (2,638 games)
  • 2500+: 55.8% win rate (616 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (69%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 69.2% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (8,739 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (16,525 games)
  • Rapid: 46.5% win rate (4,169 games)
  • Classical: 42.8% win rate (224 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (86 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (294 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (260 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (533 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (795 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (229 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (927 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (1,857 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (536 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,366 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (3,628 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (916 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,901 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (5,201 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,283 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (1,583 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (3,726 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (944 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (1,459 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (987 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (189 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (590 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 30K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (616 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.4%) outperforms Classical (42.8%) by 7.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 42.2%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 149 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 608 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 616 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.3%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.6%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.8%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 37.4%-48.2%) win rate for white (224 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Alekhine Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.