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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line

8.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 47.6%Based on 8.3K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.0%3.3%51.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bf5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line
Analyzen=8.3K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 46.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 47.6%), based on 8.3K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -3.1% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.4% win rate (15 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.0% win rate (66 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.6% win rate (199 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.4% win rate (572 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (1,319 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.9% win rate (2,490 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.9% win rate (2,371 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.8% win rate (1,246 games)
  • 2500+: 41.6% win rate (43 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (35%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.3% win rate (1,715 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (5,552 games)
  • Rapid: 41.1% win rate (1,005 games)
  • Classical: 34.7% win rate (49 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (140 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (350 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 28.9% expected score (79 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (282 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (806 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (220 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (477 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (1,599 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (388 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (484 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,654 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (224 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (201 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (996 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.5%) outperforms Bullet (50.1%) by 4.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 54.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 199 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 53.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 572 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.1%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.7%) win rate for white (5.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line has a 54.5% (90% CI: 51.9%-57.1%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.