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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 47.6%Based on 29K games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
44.7%4.8%50.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...g6
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation
Analyzen=29K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 47.6%), based on 29K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.9% · Rapid best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~44%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.5% win rate (499 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.0% win rate (1,292 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.9% win rate (2,379 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (3,961 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.0% win rate (6,000 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.2% win rate (6,141 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.9% win rate (4,732 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.0% win rate (3,209 games)
  • 2500+: 42.0% win rate (773 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (48%), worst in Rapid (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.3% win rate (132 games)
  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (13,739 games)
  • Blitz: 42.8% win rate (12,439 games)
  • Rapid: 42.2% win rate (2,569 games)
  • Classical: 48.4% win rate (107 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (282 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (78 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (431 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (654 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (202 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (828 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (1,206 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (330 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,552 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (1,845 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (506 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (2,785 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,542 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (590 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,017 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (2,558 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (510 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (2,513 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (1,925 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 38.2% expected score (277 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (1,864 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (1,265 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (75 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (610 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (162 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.9% win rate for white (4.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.6%) outperforms Classical (42.9%) by 8.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 50.6%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 499 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.4%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 773 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-56.9%) win rate for white (132 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.3%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.4%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 35.1%-50.7%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Smyslov Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.