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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense

24K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score41.9%Range (90% confident): 41.4% – 42.4%Based on 24K games
0%41.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.4% – 42.4%
Outcome Distribution
40.2%3.3%56.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...f5
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense
Analyzen=24K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 41.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.4% and 42.4%), based on 24K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.2 · Trap factor: +2.0 · n=24K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.0% · Classical best · Blitz worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~42%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.3% win rate (5,095 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.7% win rate (6,977 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.0% win rate (5,433 games)
  • 1400-1599: 38.0% win rate (3,381 games)
  • 1600-1799: 38.2% win rate (1,723 games)
  • 1800-1999: 37.8% win rate (803 games)
  • 2000-2199: 38.4% win rate (177 games)
  • 2200-2499: 35.8% win rate (25 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (42%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 41.6% win rate (3,130 games)
  • Blitz: 41.1% win rate (12,016 games)
  • Rapid: 38.7% win rate (8,102 games)
  • Classical: 32.6% win rate (362 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (751 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (2,875 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (1,458 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (794 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (3,492 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (2,641 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (634 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (2,621 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (2,035 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.3% expected score (143 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (1,569 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.4% expected score (1,290 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (116 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (289 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (909 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (484 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (188 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (446 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (164 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 38.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (91 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 33.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 56.5% (90% CI: 56.0%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 24K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 58.8% win rate for white (3.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (64.5%) outperforms Blitz (55.5%) by 9.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.7%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 57.2% (90% CI: 56.1%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 58.8% (90% CI: 57.4%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 58.4% (90% CI: 56.4%-60.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 58.9% (90% CI: 56.0%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 803 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 58.5% (90% CI: 52.4%-64.5%) win rate for white, based on 177 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-58.3%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 57.5% (90% CI: 56.5%-58.4%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense has a 64.5% (90% CI: 60.3%-68.6%) win rate for white (362 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Schwartz Defense is statistically favors white with a 56.5% (90% CI: 56.0%-57.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.