1.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a 55.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.0% and 57.4%), based on 1.4K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 60% → 38%
Best in Rapid (53%), worst in Bullet (33%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (725 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (49.0%) outperforms Bullet (32.9%) by 16.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a sharpness score of 82.8 (moderately decisive), meaning 82.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 41 moves.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 38.4%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 134 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 725 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a 37.8% (90% CI: 34.2%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 476 Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 33.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a 32.9% (90% CI: 27.9%-38.1%) win rate for white (225 Lichess games). Draw rate is 34.2%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.6%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.8%.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense, Russian Gambit is statistically favors white with a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.