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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense

1.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

No move sequence recorded for this opening

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

54.4%

45%60%
Floor52.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 56.5%.

Measured over 1.5K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.5K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
1.5K
Best context
not measured yet
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
95.7%
Draws
4.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.0% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 45.8% at 0-999, 54.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (78 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (57 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.5% expected score (119 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (107 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 62.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (97 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (91 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
54.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Saduleto Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Greco Variation
52.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Normal Variation
55.4%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Central Variation, Alekhine System
53.6%

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense scores 54.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.3% and 56.5% — from 1.5K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
1.5K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate?

Playing the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense, White wins 52.2%, draws 4.3% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 1.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense performs best for White at 1400-1599, with an Expected Score of 59.7% (241 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 55.4% in Blitz (627 games) against 52.5% in Rapid (140 games).

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 47.1%, draws 6.5% and loses 46.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 161 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 57.9%, draws 3.5% and loses 38.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.7%. It rests on 241 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 55.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 41.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.7%. It rests on 254 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 49.7%, draws 4.2% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 227 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 43.3%, draws 4.6% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.7%. It rests on 182 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 54.8%, draws 3.6% and loses 41.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.6%. It rests on 233 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 54.1%, draws 11.2% and loses 34.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.8%. It rests on 101 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 52.2%, draws 3.5% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 707 Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 52.9%, draws 4.9% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 627 Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 49.1%, draws 6.7% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 140 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 52.2% of its games and loses 43.5%. It performs best at 1400-1599. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.