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Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit

828K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.5%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.6%Based on 828K games
0%50.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.9%3.2%47.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bc4
Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit
Analyzen=828K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 50.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 50.6%), based on 828K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +2.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.1% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.8% win rate (73,199 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (124,003 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.0% win rate (160,950 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (176,830 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (154,020 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.2% win rate (95,420 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (33,278 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.8% win rate (9,487 games)
  • 2500+: 42.3% win rate (1,018 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 58.4% win rate (912 games)
  • Bullet: 50.2% win rate (247,059 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (403,429 games)
  • Rapid: 47.4% win rate (170,705 games)
  • Classical: 45.3% win rate (6,100 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.0% expected score (57 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (17,950 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (35,418 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (19,618 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.7% expected score (156 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (145 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (33,996 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (59,174 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (29,866 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (822 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (203 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (44,275 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (78,452 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (36,511 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (1,509 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.7% expected score (406 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (49,619 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (88,807 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (36,096 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (1,902 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (87 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (45,812 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (78,336 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (28,557 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (1,228 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (30,893 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (47,866 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (16,231 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (419 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (16,573 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (13,189 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (3,453 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (7,002 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (2,112 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (369 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (939 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (75 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ponziani Opening
51.8%
Variations (5)
Ponziani Opening: Caro Gambit
45.4%
Ponziani Opening: Jaenisch Counterattack
49.8%
Ponziani Opening: Leonhardt Variation
45.7%
Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit
45.2%
Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack
48.2%
Analyze Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate?

The Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 828K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit perform best?

The Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (161K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (58.4%) outperforms Classical (45.3%) by 13.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit?

The Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 124K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 161K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 177K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 154K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 95K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 42.3% (90% CI: 39.8%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 58.4% (90% CI: 55.7%-61.1%) win rate for white (912 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate for white (247K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.8%) win rate for white (403K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.6%) win rate for white (171K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.3%) win rate for white (6.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit a good opening?

The Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.