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Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line

23K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.5%Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 56.1%Based on 23K games
0%55.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 56.1%
Outcome Distribution
52.1%6.9%41.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bxa1
Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line
Analyzen=23K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.9%

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 55.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.0% and 56.1%), based on 23K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.8% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 58.4% win rate (37 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.7% win rate (135 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (615 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.7% win rate (1,940 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (4,237 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.1% win rate (6,317 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (6,361 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.8% win rate (3,061 games)
  • 2500+: 55.4% win rate (489 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in Rapid (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.2% win rate (32 games)
  • Bullet: 55.8% win rate (9,741 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (11,471 games)
  • Rapid: 47.0% win rate (1,884 games)
  • Classical: 49.6% win rate (64 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (75 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (55 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (274 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (290 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (51 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (588 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,149 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (183 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (2,471 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (516 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (2,053 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (3,524 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (706 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (2,968 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (3,054 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (330 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (2,077 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (892 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (92 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (465 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Polish Opening
52.9%
Variations (5)
Polish Opening: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Polish Opening: Birmingham Gambit
51.4%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Advance Variation
53.5%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Attack
50.7%
Polish Opening: Czech Defense
49.5%
Analyze Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate?

The Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 23K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line perform best?

The Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 59.7% win rate for white (135 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.8%) outperforms Classical (49.6%) by 6.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line?

The Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a sharpness score of 93.1 (decisive), meaning 93.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 59.7% (90% CI: 52.7%-66.5%) win rate for white, based on 135 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 53.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 615 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 55.4% (90% CI: 51.7%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 489 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.0%-56.6%) win rate for white (9.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

What is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.9%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.7%.

Is the Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line a good opening?

The Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line is statistically favors white with a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.