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Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.7%Based on 33K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%4.6%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...b6
Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 53.7%), based on 33K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.9% win rate (100 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.4% win rate (503 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.8% win rate (2,083 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.0% win rate (5,497 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (8,676 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (9,158 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (5,576 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.5% win rate (1,397 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (87 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.8% win rate (51 games)
  • Bullet: 53.5% win rate (11,026 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (18,047 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (3,807 games)
  • Classical: 41.7% win rate (146 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (225 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (238 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (746 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (1,130 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (205 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (1,607 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (3,250 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (595 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 28.4% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (2,011 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (5,306 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,271 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (67 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (2,707 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (5,121 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (1,282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (2,668 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (2,565 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (334 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (921 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (397 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (77 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (79 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Polish Opening
52.9%
Variations (5)
Polish Opening: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Polish Opening: Birmingham Gambit
51.4%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Advance Variation
53.5%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Attack
50.7%
Polish Opening: Czech Defense
49.5%
Analyze Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate?

The Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation perform best?

The Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (63.8%) outperforms Classical (41.7%) by 22.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation?

The Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 33.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 100 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 503 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.3%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.9%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 35.1%-48.4%) win rate for white (146 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

Is the Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation a good opening?

The Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.